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Scenario
In Brazil, inflation will fall this year and rise next year, while interest rates will advance this year, according to the projections of the Focus Bulletin of the Central Bank (BC), released today.
In relation to inflation, measured by the Broad Consumer Price Index (IPCA), this falls from 5.76% to 5.64% in 2022 and advances from 5.17% to 5.23% in 2023. For 2024, it rises from 3.50% to 3.60%.
In terms of the Selic, which is the basic interest rate for the Brazilian economy, it rises from 11.75% to 12% in 2022, and remains at 9.00% in 2023, according to the latest reading.
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP), in turn, falls from 3.05% to 3.04% in 2022, and remains at 0.79% in 2023.
Finally, the exchange rate remains at R$ 5.25 in 2022, and rises from R$ 5.26 to R$ 5.27 in 2023.
In the domestic market today, the focus is on the political movement about the members of the government of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT-SP), since there are still names to be announced and positions to be filled, such as the presidency of Petrobras (PETR4).
Earlier, Estadão reported that the Ministry of Planning is among three names: André Pinheiro de Lara Resende, Simone Tebet and the leader of the PT in the House, Reginaldo Lopes, who is an economist.
According to the newspaper, Lula, Haddad and Alckmin are trying to make Lara Resende – who turned down the invitation last week – change his mind.
It also brings that weigh against Tebet her own resistance to the position and programmatic differences with the future Minister of Management, Esther Dweck.